The Fire Bet pays up to 999:1 if a shooter makes all six unique points before sevening out. The payoff is spectacular — but the house keeps roughly 24 cents of every dollar wagered.
Before the shooter establishes a come-out point, you place the Fire Bet in the designated circle near the table edge (minimum is usually $1, maximum $5). The bet then tracks how many unique points — 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10 — the current shooter makes before rolling a 7.
Making the same point twice doesn't count. You need 4, 5, or 6 different points. If the shooter sevens out after making fewer than 4 distinct points, you lose. The bet stays up and cannot be removed mid-shooter.
The fantasy scenario: A shooter who makes points 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, and 10 — in any order, before a single 7 — triggers the full 999:1 payout. A $5 Fire Bet would pay $4,995.
Most casinos use this standard payout schedule. Some properties offer slightly different scales — always confirm before betting.
| Unique Points Made | Payout | Probability | Contributes to EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0, 1, 2, or 3 | Lose bet | 98.83% | −98.83¢ |
| 4 unique points | 24:1 | 0.882% | +21.2¢ |
| 5 unique points | 249:1 | 0.158% | +39.4¢ |
| 6 unique points | 999:1 | 0.017% | +17.0¢ |
| Total EV (per $1 bet) | −$0.226 | ||
The house edge is roughly 24% — one of the highest at the table. For context, the Pass Line is 1.41% and even the worst standard bets (Any 7) are 16.67%.
Each point number has a specific probability of being made before a 7, based on the number of ways to roll it versus the 6 ways to roll a 7:
| Point | Ways to Make | Ways to 7 | P(Make Point) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 or 10 | 3 | 6 | 33.3% |
| 5 or 9 | 4 | 6 | 40.0% |
| 6 or 8 | 5 | 6 | 45.5% |
Getting all six requires the shooter to navigate each point successfully — the chance of doing so is only about 1 in 6,000. Most shooters never get past 3 unique points.
The simulation below runs 50,000 dice rolls, tracking full shooter sessions and resolving the Fire Bet each time a shooter sevens out. Watch how rare the big payouts are — most sessions grind the bankroll down slowly, with occasional large spikes when the bet triggers.
The Fire Bet is a fun, low-stakes lottery ticket, not a strategy. At $1–$5, it adds excitement to a hot shooter without seriously damaging your session bankroll. The 24% house edge means you'll lose it often — but the occasional 999:1 hit is genuinely thrilling.
If you're playing a disciplined session, skip it. If you're watching a shooter who's already made 3 points and you want skin in the game, a single $1 unit is perfectly reasonable entertainment.
Best practice: Treat it like a tip for the table. Pair it with a Pass Line bet for a complete low-edge setup. Keep it to the minimum ($1–$2). Never size up chasing a hot shooter — the odds don't improve regardless of how many points have already been made.
See also: All / Tall / Small →
See also: best craps strategy →
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