The Fire Bet
Craps' Biggest Long Shot

The Fire Bet pays up to 999:1 if a shooter makes all six unique points before sevening out. The payoff is spectacular โ€” but the house keeps roughly 24 cents of every dollar wagered.

999:1Max Payout
~24%House Edge
0.017%P(All 6 Points)
$1โ€“$5Typical Limit
Contents
  1. How the Fire Bet Works
  2. Payout Tiers
  3. Exact Probabilities
  4. 50,000-Roll Simulation
  5. Should You Bet It?
  6. FAQ

How the Fire Bet Works

Before the shooter establishes a come-out point, you place the Fire Bet in the designated circle near the table edge (minimum is usually $1, maximum $5). The bet then tracks how many unique points โ€” 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10 โ€” the current shooter makes before rolling a 7.

๐Ÿ“œ Casino LoreThe Fire Bet was invented to formalise something players were already doing for free. For decades, craps regulars would informally track a hot shooter's unique points โ€” "she's hit 4, 6, and 9, two more to go!" โ€” as a side narrative alongside the main game. A casino consultant in the late 1990s noticed this behaviour and pitched a bet that monetised it. The 999:1 payout for all six unique points was chosen specifically to be life-changing at the $1 or $5 minimum most casinos allow. Most casinos cap the bet at $5 for a reason: a single max-payout hit could exceed the table's entire daily drop. The bet spread rapidly through Las Vegas in the early 2000s and is now standard equipment at most American craps tables.

Making the same point twice doesn't count. You need 4, 5, or 6 different points. If the shooter sevens out after making fewer than 4 distinct points, you lose. The bet stays up and cannot be removed mid-shooter.

๐Ÿ”ฅ

The fantasy scenario: A shooter who makes points 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, and 10 โ€” in any order, before a single 7 โ€” triggers the full 999:1 payout. A $5 Fire Bet would pay $4,995.

Payout Tiers

Most casinos use this standard payout schedule. Some properties offer slightly different scales โ€” always confirm before betting.

Unique Points MadePayoutProbabilityContributes to EV
0, 1, 2, or 3Lose bet98.83%โˆ’98.83ยข
4 unique points24:10.882%+21.2ยข
5 unique points249:10.158%+39.4ยข
6 unique points999:10.017%+17.0ยข
Total EV (per $1 bet)โˆ’$0.226
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The house edge is roughly 24% โ€” one of the highest at the table. For context, the Pass Line is 1.41% and even the worst standard bets (Any 7) are 16.67%.

Exact Probabilities

Each point number has a specific probability of being made before a 7, based on the number of ways to roll it versus the 6 ways to roll a 7:

PointWays to MakeWays to 7P(Make Point)
4 or 103633.3%
5 or 94640.0%
6 or 85645.5%

Getting all six requires the shooter to navigate each point successfully โ€” the chance of doing so is only about 1 in 6,000. Most shooters never get past 3 unique points.

50,000-Roll Simulation

The simulation below runs 50,000 dice rolls, tracking full shooter sessions and resolving the Fire Bet each time a shooter sevens out. Watch how rare the big payouts are โ€” most sessions grind the bankroll down slowly, with occasional large spikes when the bet triggers.

๐ŸŽฒ Fire Bet Simulator
$5 fire bet ยท Full shooter sessions ยท 50,000 rolls
โ€”Rolls
โ€”Rounds
โ€”Win %
โ€”P&L
โ€”Eff. Edge
โ€”Max DD
Profit
Loss
Expected
Prior runs
Run the simulation to see results.

Should You Bet It?

The Fire Bet is a fun, low-stakes lottery ticket, not a strategy. At $1โ€“$5, it adds excitement to a hot shooter without seriously damaging your session bankroll. The 24% house edge means you'll lose it often โ€” but the occasional 999:1 hit is genuinely thrilling.

If you're playing a disciplined session, skip it. If you're watching a shooter who's already made 3 points and you want skin in the game, a single $1 unit is perfectly reasonable entertainment.

โœ…

Best practice: Treat it like a tip for the table. Keep it to the minimum ($1โ€“$2). Never size up chasing a hot shooter โ€” the odds don't improve regardless of how many points have already been made.

Frequently Asked Questions

What happens if the shooter makes the same point twice?
Only unique point numbers count. Making the 6 twice doesn't add to your Fire Bet tally โ€” you need the 4, 5, 8, 9, and 10 as well to reach higher tiers.
Can I remove the Fire Bet after placing it?
No. The Fire Bet is a contract bet โ€” once placed for a shooter, it stays until that shooter sevens out. You cannot take it down or reduce it mid-hand.
Do all casinos offer the Fire Bet?
No โ€” it's a proprietary side bet and not universally available. It's common in Las Vegas and regional casinos but absent from many others. Ask the dealer before looking for it on the layout.
Is the Fire Bet available online?
Some live-dealer casino platforms offer it, but it's not standard. InfiniteCraps includes it in the prop bet panel so you can experience it without real money.

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InfiniteCraps lets you place the Fire Bet, hardways, horn, and all prop bets in a free live-action simulator โ€” no download, no sign-up.

This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Craps involves real financial risk. All house edge figures assume standard casino rules. InfiniteCraps is a free simulator โ€” no real money is wagered.